Infometrics’ latest Quarterly Economic Monitor shows the Tairāwhiti economy contracted over 2025, with employment and household spending under pressure, while tourism and the rural sector provided some positive momentum.

Provisional figures show regional GDP declined 1.0% for the year to December 2025, compared with 0.4% growth nationally. Employment fell 2.1% over the same period, and unemployment rose to 6.5%, above the national average of 5.3%.

Despite softer labour market conditions, tourism spending increased 10.2% to $173 million for the year. Traffic flows were up 9.8%, signalling stronger visitor movement particularly for R&V.

Consumer spending eased 0.4% over the year, and commercial vehicle registrations declined 9%, pointing to cautious business investment.

House values dipped slightly by 0.4% to an average of $548,672, while sales increased 7.7% and listings rose 28.6%, giving buyers more choice.

Emergency housing numbers fell sharply over the year.

However, some social indicators remain a concern. School attendance remains below the national average, youth disengagement is elevated, and the regional crime rate remains significantly higher than the national figure.

The report highlights both the opportunities and challenges facing Tairāwhiti in 2026, with the priority being to turn sector growth into broader economic gains for whānau and businesses across the region.

 

Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor Tairāwhiti December 2025

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